Month: April 2025

Someshwar Srivastava: Why Rise in Gold Prices is Crucial?

Someshwar Srivastava: Why Rise in Gold Prices is Crucial?

Ever wondered how rich one could get if there was gold available for investment? For centuries, gold has held a captivating allure.  

It’s adorned royalty, symbolised wealth, and served as a cornerstone of global economies. 

In India, its significance transcends mere economics; it’s deeply woven into our cultural fabric, cherished during weddings, festivals, and passed down through generations. 

Recently, this timeless asset made headlines yet again, crossing the significant milestone of ₹1 Lakh per 10 grams in the Indian retail market (including GST) and on certain futures contracts, as reported around April 22, 2025.  

As per highly experienced investor and advisor Someshwar Srivastava, this record surge, fuelled by a cocktail of global economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, a weakening US dollar, and central bank buying, has reignited conversations about gold’s role in modern investment portfolios. 

But beyond the headlines and the shimmering appeal, why is investing in gold still considered a prudent practice?  

Let’s delve into the enduring value of this precious metal. 

Why Invest in Gold? 

Gold’s reputation as a sound investment isn’t built on fleeting trends. It stems from several core attributes: 

  1. Historical Store of Value: Unlike fiat currencies, which can be devalued by inflation or government policies, gold possesses intrinsic value. Throughout history, it has consistently retained purchasing power over long periods, acting as a reliable store of wealth. 
  1. Safe Haven Asset: In times of economic turmoil, market volatility, or geopolitical instability (like the recent US-China trade tensions or concerns around Federal Reserve policies cited in recent reports), investors often flock to gold. It’s perceived as a ‘safe harbour,’ preserving capital when other assets like stocks or bonds might be declining. Its performance during the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic underscores this characteristic. 
  1. Hedge Against Inflation: When the cost of living rises and the value of currency erodes (inflation), gold prices often tend to increase. This makes it an effective tool to protect your wealth against the corrosive effects of inflation over the long term. 
  1. Portfolio Diversification: Gold often exhibits a low or even negative correlation with traditional asset classes like equities and bonds. This means its price movements don’t necessarily mirror the stock market. Including gold in your portfolio can help reduce overall risk and provide stability, especially during market downturns. 
  1. Cultural Significance: Particularly in India, owning gold is synonymous with prosperity and security. This deep-rooted cultural affinity ensures consistent domestic demand, especially during festive and wedding seasons. 

The Pros and Cons of Gold Investment 

Like any investment, gold comes with its own set of advantages and disadvantages: 

Pros: 

  • Liquidity: Gold is highly liquid. Whether in the form of bars, coins, or even jewellery (though less ideal for pure investment), it can be relatively easily converted into cash almost anywhere in the world. Digital forms like ETFs are even more liquid. 
  • Tangibility (Physical Gold): Owning physical gold provides a sense of security for some investors – it’s an asset you can hold. 
  • Universal Acceptance: Gold is recognized and valued globally, transcending borders and currencies. 
  • Diversification Benefits: As mentioned, its low correlation with other assets makes it an excellent diversification tool. 

Cons: 

  • No Passive Income: Unlike stocks (dividends) or bonds (interest), gold doesn’t generate regular income. Returns solely depend on price appreciation. 
  • Storage and Security Costs (Physical Gold): Storing physical gold safely involves costs (bank lockers) and carries the risk of theft or damage. Purity can also be a concern. 
  • Price Volatility: While a long-term store of value, gold prices can be volatile in the short term, influenced by factors like interest rates, currency movements, and market sentiment. Recent sharp rallies highlight this potential for fluctuation. 
  • Opportunity Cost: During strong bull runs in the equity market, gold’s returns might lag behind stocks over certain periods. 
  • Transaction Costs: Buying physical gold, especially jewellery, involves making charges. Even ETFs and Mutual Funds have management fees and brokerage costs. 

Future Predictions 

Following the recent price surge, experts remain broadly optimistic, albeit cautious, about gold’s future. Several factors support a continued bullish outlook into 2025 and potentially FY26: 

  • Persistent Global Uncertainty: Ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic concerns continue to bolster gold’s safe-haven appeal. 
  • Central Bank Buying: Central banks globally, including the RBI, have been increasing their gold reserves (‘de-dollarisation’), providing consistent demand. 
  • Potential US Fed Rate Cuts: Expectations of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve tend to make non-yielding assets like gold more attractive compared to interest-bearing investments like bonds. 
  • Weakening US Dollar: A weaker dollar generally makes gold cheaper for buyers using other currencies, potentially boosting demand. 

Forecasts vary, but many analysts see potential for further gains.  

Some predict prices reaching ₹85,000 – ₹91,000 per 10 grams or even higher (with some revised forecasts touching ₹1,12,000) by the end of 2025 or FY26.  

Goldman Sachs has issued particularly bullish forecasts, predicting gold could reach $3,700/oz (a 41% gain from Jan 1, 2025 levels) or even $4,500/oz (a potential 71% gain) by the end of 2025 under certain scenarios. 

However, seasoned veterans like Someshwar Srivastava advise caution. The recent rally has been sharp, and volatility remains a key risk.  

Many suggest approaching new investments strategically, perhaps buying on price dips rather than chasing all-time highs. 

The Feasibility Factor 

Despite the cons and volatility, gold remains a highly feasible investment for Indians, thanks to the variety of ways to invest: 

  1. Physical Gold (Jewellery, Coins, Bars): The traditional method. Best for cultural purposes or those who prefer tangible assets. Be mindful of making charges, purity (look for BIS hallmark), and storage. 
  1. Gold ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds): Units representing physical gold, traded on stock exchanges like shares. Offer liquidity, transparency, lower costs than physical gold (no making charges), and eliminate storage hassles. Requires a Demat account. 
  1. Gold Mutual Funds: These funds primarily invest in Gold ETFs. Offer convenience, professional management, and allow investment via Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs). Suitable for those without a Demat account or preferring the MF route. 
  1. Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGBs): Issued by the RBI on behalf of the Government. Denominated in grams of gold. Offer a fixed interest rate (currently 2.5% p.a.) on the investment amount, paid semi-annually, in addition to capital appreciation linked to gold prices. Capital gains on redemption are tax-exempt for individuals. Have an 8-year tenure with exit options from the 5th year. Considered very safe and tax-efficient. 
  1. Digital Gold: Allows buying gold online through various platforms, starting from very small amounts (even ₹1). Gold is stored in insured vaults on your behalf. Offers convenience but currently lacks a dedicated regulatory framework like SEBI for ETFs or MFs. 

Conclusion 

Gold’s recent surge past ₹1 Lakh is a testament to its enduring appeal in uncertain times.  

While it might not offer the explosive growth potential of equities in the short term, its historical resilience, diversification benefits, and role as a hedge against inflation and crisis make it a valuable strategic asset. 

Investing in gold shouldn’t be an ‘all-or-nothing’ approach. It’s about balance.  

Financial advisors like Someshwar Srivastava often suggest allocating a portion (typically 5-15%) of your portfolio to gold, depending on your age, risk tolerance, and overall financial goals.  

Whether through SGBs for tax efficiency and interest, ETFs for liquidity, or physical gold for tradition, incorporating the yellow metal can add a layer of stability and protection to your long-term investment journey.  

As the Indian household has long known, and as even seasoned bankers like Someshwar Srivastava have acknowledged, holding gold can indeed be a smart move. 

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Someshwar Srivastava: Role of Retail Investors in India’s Stock Market

Someshwar Srivastava: Role of Retail Investors in India’s Stock Market

Over the past decade, retail investors have become a significant force in India’s capital markets.  

With greater financial literacy, improved access to trading platforms, and regulatory support, the participation of individual investors in equity markets has grown rapidly.  

As of 2024, retail investors make up a sizeable chunk of the daily trading volume on both the NSE and BSE. 

This blog explores the rise of retail investors in India, their contribution to the market ecosystem, challenges they face, and how experts like Someshwar Srivastava view this trend from an industry and market perspective. 

Who Are Retail Investors? 

Retail investors are individual, non-professional investors who buy and sell securities for their personal accounts.  

Unlike institutional investors—such as mutual funds, insurance companies, or pension funds—retail investors trade in smaller volumes and typically rely on personal research, market information, and broker recommendations. 

The Surge in Retail Participation 

The rise of retail investing in India has been driven by several factors: 

1. Digital Trading Platforms 

Platforms like Zerodha, Upstox, Groww, and Paytm Money have revolutionized access to the markets. With simple onboarding processes and user-friendly interfaces, these platforms have opened the doors to first-time investors from Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities. 

2. COVID-19 and Market Volatility 

The 2020 pandemic-led market crash and subsequent recovery created a unique entry point. Millions of new investors entered the market to capitalize on falling prices, leading to a surge in Demat account openings. 

3. Educational Content 

Financial literacy content across YouTube, social media, and blogs has simplified complex concepts for new investors. Investors today have access to more free tools, calculators, webinars, and market explainers than ever before. 

4. Lower Entry Barriers 

The removal of high brokerage fees, introduction of fractional investing, and mobile-first platforms have made investing affordable and accessible to all income groups. 

Impact of Retail Investors on the Market 

Retail investors now contribute up to 35–40% of daily trading volumes in Indian equities. Their participation affects market liquidity, volatility, and even stock price movements—especially in small-cap and mid-cap segments. 

According to NSE data from FY2023–24: 

  • Over 12 crore individual investors were registered on CDSL and NSDL. 
  • A significant portion of retail capital flowed into equity mutual funds via SIPs (Systematic Investment Plans), with monthly inflows touching ₹18,000 crore in early 2024. 
  • Retail shareholding in the Nifty 500 companies reached a record high, with individual investors holding approximately 7.4% of total equity market cap by March 2024. 

Retail Investors: A Broader Perspective 

While numbers show a growing interest and influence of retail investors, market experts often stress the importance of responsible participation. 

Someshwar Srivastava, a seasoned investor and real estate PR consultant with a deep understanding of financial markets, explains: 

“The involvement of retail investors in capital markets is a positive sign of economic democratization. But it’s essential that this participation is backed by informed decision-making and a long-term approach.” 

Srivastava’s insights are grounded in over two decades of observing investment behavior across sectors. He emphasizes that retail investors, while influential, should be cautious about short-term speculation and the over-reliance on informal stock tips. 

Challenges Faced by Retail Investors 

Despite the enthusiasm and growth, retail investors face several challenges: 

1. Lack of Professional Research 

Most retail investors depend on public data, social media content, or media articles. This can result in poor stock selection or reactive decision-making. 

2. Market Volatility 

Retail participants are more likely to be swayed by short-term market movements, which can lead to panic selling or impulsive buying. 

3. Limited Risk Management 

New investors often enter the market without understanding risk profiling, portfolio diversification, or exit strategies. 

4. Influence of Finfluencers 

The rise of financial influencers (“finfluencers”) has its pros and cons. While many create useful content, others may promote high-risk trades, penny stocks, or unverified tips without SEBI registration. 

The Regulatory Landscape 

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has been proactive in ensuring retail investor protection.  

Key regulations include: 

  • Mandatory KYC for Demat account holders 
  • Restrictions on unsolicited investment advice 
  • T+1 settlement cycle implementation for faster fund transfers 
  • Monitoring and cracking down on pump-and-dump schemes 
  • SEBI’s 2023 proposal to regulate finfluencers and financial content on social media 

Such reforms aim to build a safer and more transparent investment ecosystem for individuals. 

The Way Forward for Retail Investors 

Retail investors are now an integral part of India’s capital market structure.  

However, sustainability will depend on their ability to stay informed and rational. 

According to Someshwar Srivastava

“The market offers opportunities to all, but it rewards discipline and patience. Retail investors must prioritize learning, diversify their investments, and resist the urge to follow the crowd.” 

Tips for Retail Investors to Navigate the Market 

  1. Start with SIPs: Mutual fund SIPs remain a steady way to build long-term wealth without timing the market. 
  1. Focus on Financial Goals: Link investments to personal goals like retirement, education, or housing to avoid emotional investing. 
  1. Diversify Your Portfolio: Spread investments across different asset classes—equity, debt, gold, and real estate. 
  1. Follow Reputed Sources: Stick to SEBI-registered advisors or established financial platforms for guidance. 
  1. Stay Updated: Keep track of economic indicators, budget announcements, and global events affecting the markets. 

Conclusion 

Retail investors are no longer just passive spectators in India’s financial markets—they are active participants shaping the future of capital flow and wealth creation.  

While their growing presence is a positive trend, it must be supported by sound education, responsible regulation, and practical tools for investing. 

Experts like Someshwar Srivastava believe that retail investing in India is entering a new chapter – one that holds immense potential, provided it’s approached with the right mindset and information.